On Monday, ED issued the “Student Tuition and Transparency System (STATS) and Earnings Accountability” notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM), which follows the AHEAD Committee’s negotiated rulemaking sessions completed earlier this year. The AHEAD Committee was tasked with developing draft regulations to implement the changes to the Pell Grant program and the new accountability measures adopted by Congress in OB3 that President Trump signed into law on July 4, 2025. Because the Committee achieved consensus, meaning that no negotiators objected to the proposed draft, ED was obligated to issue an NPRM that advances the consensus language. The AACS membership and other interested parties by now are familiar with the concerns raised by the NPRM. Notably, in OB3, Congress directed ED to develop accountability regulations for undergraduate degree programs, graduate degree programs, and graduate certificate programs, but it pointedly excluded undergraduate nondegree programs. ED nevertheless has extended the new accountability framework to include undergraduate certificates, like most cosmetology, barber, and wellness programs. ED’s data suggests that nearly all such programs are projected to fail the accountability framework’s requirements, with the significant majority of programs facing the potential loss of Title IV eligibility and continued viability. If implemented as drafted, the NPRM would compare the median earnings reported by a program’s working completers 3-4 years after graduation with the median earnings of all working adults aged 25-34 holding just a high school diploma in either the state where the school is located or, in some cases, nationally. As a result, the framework would establish the same comparative earnings expectation for a 1,000 hour undergraduate cosmetology certificate as a bachelor’s degree program in an advanced and highly-compensated field. The NPRM also fails to account for well-known weaknesses in earnings reported for cosmetology, barber, and wellness program completers. The NPRM provides no adjustments for wage discrimination in fields predominated by women and minorities as compared to the total adult workforce; no accounting for the disproportionate rate of part-time employment in the cosmetology, barber, and wellness industries; and no solution for the problem of un- and under-reported income arising from cash transactions and tips. Finally, the NPRM fails to account for earnings disparities within a state. Median earnings for completers from most schools located in rural and exurban regions will be compared with earnings reported for all working adults statewide. In states where large urban and higher-wage jurisdictions skew statewide data, the rural school and its completers suffer from this structural disadvantage, which the NPRM does not address. The NPRM provides that programs that fail the NPRM’s earnings accountability test in one year must issue warning notices to students. Any program that fails the test in two out of three consecutive years is deemed a low earning outcome program and would lose eligibility for Direct Loans. A program that is deemed a low earning outcome program in two out of three consecutive years would lose all Title IV eligibility, including Pell Grants. All comments to the NPRM must be submitted to ED through the regulations.gov portal no later than May 20. ED must review the comments and will either modify the regulations as a result of the comments or explain why it chose not to do so. Final regulations are expected to be issued by the end of June for implementation on July 1, 2027, other than select provisions that Congress mandated become effective as of July 1, 2026. AACS urges all members to submit thoughtful comments that challenge the NPRM and to offer constructive alternatives. We must mobilize as a community to have our voices heard. |